ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) moved up the Indiana Hoosiers from 30th to 16th in the latest FPI rankings this week. The Football Power Index also boosted Indiana's College Football Playoff chances to 22.8%, up from 7.4% last week.
NEW: Updated ESPN FPI after week 2 of the College Football season📈📉https://t.co/dCnwYXQ9KA pic.twitter.com/H1aK2SFGXp
— On3 (@On3sports) September 7, 2025
ESPN FPI Projects Indiana's Remaining 2025 Season
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Indiana State Sycamores - Sept. 12
ESPN FPI Chances of Victory: Indiana 99.0%, Indiana State 1.0%
No change since last week
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini - Sept. 20
ESPN FPI Chances of Victory: Indiana 61.4%, Illinois 38.6%
Indiana's chance of victory improved 0.6% since last week
Indiana Hoosiers at Iowa Hawkeyes - Sept. 27
ESPN FPI Chances of Victory: Indiana 63.1%, Iowa 36.9%
Indiana's chance of victory improved 15.7% since last week
Indiana Hoosiers at Oregon Ducks - Oct. 11
ESPN FPI Chances of Victory: Indiana 13.4%, Oregon 86.6%
Indiana's chance decreased 0.8% since last week
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Michigan State Spartans - Oct. 18
ESPN FPI Chances of Victory: Indiana 84.7%, Michigan State 15.3%
Indiana's chance increased 8.6% since last week
Indiana Hoosiers vs. UCLA Bruins - Oct. 25
ESPN FPI Chances of Victory: Indiana 91.9%, UCLA 8.1%
Indiana's chance increased 4.4% since last week
Indiana Hoosiers at Maryland Terrapins - Nov. 1
ESPN FPI Chances of Victory: Indiana 70.4%, Maryland 29.6%
Indiana's chance increased 15.8% since last week
Indiana Hoosiers at Penn State Nittany Lions - Nov. 8
ESPN FPI Chances of Victory: Indiana 25.8%, Penn State 74.2%
Indiana's chances increased 9.8% since last week
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Wisconsin Badgers - Nov. 15
ESPN FPI Chances of Victory: Indiana 74.1%, Wisconsin 25.9%
Indiana's chances increased 13.4% since last week
Indiana Hoosiers at Purdue Boilermakers - Nov. 29
ESPN FPI Chances of Victory: Indiana 86.1%, Purdue 13.9%
Indiana's chances increased 9.4% since last week
ESPN FPI on Indiana's Big Ten, College Football Playoff Chances:
Indiana current FPI ranking: 16, up 14 spots from last week
FPI projected final regular season record for Indiana: 8.7-3.3, up from 7.9-4.1 last week
Indiana's chances to win 6 or more games: 99.4%, up from 96.5% last week
Indiana's chances to win Big Ten: 1.8%, up from 0.6% last week
Make College Football Playoff: 22.8%, up from 7.4% last week
Make National Championship Game: 2.2%, up from 0.5% last week
Win National Championship: 0.8%, up from 0.1% last week
ESPN states that its Football Power Index "is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team's performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily.
The computer models are showing us exactly what we expected to see following two wins over lesser opponents. Indiana doesn't have too much a longer of a wait to go before getting back to where they want to be with a home game against No. 9 Illinois at home. That game will be the measuring stick of the season early on for the Hoosiers program.