Michigan vs. Indiana prediction and odds for Sunday, March 5 (Hoosiers cap regular season in style)

Trayce Jackson-Davis #23 of the Indiana Hoosiers. (Photo by Mitchell Layton/Getty Images)
Trayce Jackson-Davis #23 of the Indiana Hoosiers. (Photo by Mitchell Layton/Getty Images) /

Indiana and Michigan complete their season series in Bloomington on Sunday afternoon.

The Hoosiers stunned the Wolverines in Ann Arbor last month and will look to finish a season sweep of their Big Ten rival who is squarely on the NCAA Tournament bubble. Can Trayce Jackson-Davis hand the Hunter Dickinson and co. a potentially lethal blow to their tourney hopes?

Let’s check out the odds and find the best bet for this Big Ten regular season finale:

Michigan vs. Indiana odds, spread and total

Michigan vs. Indiana prediction and pick

Michigan squandered an opportunity to get a resume building win against Illinois on the road on Thursday, losing in double overtime, and now have a relatively quick turnaround to face Indiana at Assembly Hall.

Meanwhile, the Hoosiers have had plenty of time to regroup after Tuesday’s disaster against Iowa at home, losing 90-68 as five-and-a-half point favorites.

The first meeting between the two teams was a slug fest with 20 combined points from the two teams that Indiana won 62-61. TJD was the best player on the floor, dominating the Dickinson matchup, scoring 28 points with nine rebounds and two blocks while playing all 40 minutes.

While it feels like points are going to come at a premium, I like the prospects of this Indiana offense that can attack Michigan’s drop coverage with guard Jalen Hood-Schifino and TJD. The Hoosiers are selective from the perimeter with the lowest three-point rate, but can them at the third highest rate at 38%. Michigan’s defense doesn’t pressure the ball at all, 12th in turnover rate, so I expect JHS to carve this defense up and generate sound looks for himself and his teammates at home.

I’ll back the Hoosiers to cover the spread in the regular season finale.