3 Bold Predictions for Indiana vs Iowa (Points Galore)

Jan 5, 2023; Iowa City, Iowa, USA; Indiana Hoosiers guard Jalen Hood-Schifino (1) goes to the basket as Iowa Hawkeyes guard Connor McCaffery (30) and forward Filip Rebraca (0) defend during the first half at Carver-Hawkeye Arena. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports
Jan 5, 2023; Iowa City, Iowa, USA; Indiana Hoosiers guard Jalen Hood-Schifino (1) goes to the basket as Iowa Hawkeyes guard Connor McCaffery (30) and forward Filip Rebraca (0) defend during the first half at Carver-Hawkeye Arena. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports /
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Seeding for the Big Ten Tournament is on the line tonight as Indiana hosts Iowa in what is the penultimate regular season game for both teams.

The Hoosiers (20-9, 11-7) are just above Iowa (18-11, 10-8) in the conference standings and the teams would be dead even tonight if Indiana loses.

I’ve circled three bold, but not impossible, predictions for tonight’s conference tilt that would pay off big if they hit. But before I get into that, you’ll want to know how to take advantage of the highest-valued promotion in sports betting at Caesars Sportsbook.

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Now let’s check out some picks you might want to use for your insured wager.

Bold Predictions for Indiana vs. Iowa

These two teams have already met once this season, with the Hawkeyes winning a back-and-forth 91-89 game that was decided in the final seconds in Iowa.

This time around, the teams will play at Assembly Hall where the Hoosiers are an impressive 14-1 this season, losing only to No. 10 Arizona.

That home record explains why Indiana is -250 on the moneyline and -5.5 on the spread. Since taking the Hoosiers to win isn’t really bold at all, let’s check out some riskier plays that could pay off.

Alternate line of OVER 164.5 total points (+196)

The last time these two teams met it was a shootout that finished at 180 total points without overtime.

Iowa ranks 12th in college basketball when it comes to offensive efficiency and Indiana (40th) isn’t too far behind. The Hawkeyes are coming off a 112-106 overtime win over Michigan State and are shooting well right now.

The total points for this game is set too low, especially when you factor in that the Hawkeyes are an abysmal 246th in the nation in defensive efficiency, and they could be forced to play fast to chase the Hoosiers.

Take the OVER on an alternate spread of 164.5 for near 2-to-1 odds.

Indiana moneyline + OVER 156 (+167)

If you want to double-down on the over, this is a bet for you. As previously stated above, Indiana has lost ONCE this season on its home court.

I don’t expect that number to increase tonight, even against a competent Iowa squad.

Take Indiana to win at home and the total to go over, especially with Jalen Hood-Schifino fresh off a 35-point game and Trayce Jackson Davis averaging 20.1 points per game this season.

Double result Hawkeyes/Hoosiers (+460)

This is obviously a roll of the dice, but consider the logic behind this bet.

Last time these teams met up, it was a back-and-forth game and we could see a similar situation play out tonight. If that’s the case, it’s not outlandish to think that Iowa (25th in the nation in first half points) could take an early lead, only to lose in the second half.

It’s a bit of a gamble, but if the Hawkeyes hold a slim lead at halftime, this bet is looking GOOD. At +460 odds, that’s a risk that I’m willing to take.

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.