Purdue vs. Indiana best bet: Hoosiers will defeat No. 1 Boilermakers

One of the best college basketball games on today’s slate is the huge rivalry matchup between No. 1 Purdue and No. 21 Indiana.

Despite Purdue being the No. 1 ranked team in the country, oddsmakers expect this game to be a close on, with the odds for the game set right around a pick’em. That means each team has a 50% chance to win.

Purdue holds a heavy lead in the Big Ten, sitting at 11-1 in conference play and 22-1 overall.

Let’s dive into the odds for the game.

Purdue vs. Indiana odds, spread, and total

Purdue vs. Indiana prediction and pick

The line is set as a pick’em, and it might be a hot take, but I actually love Indiana to beat the No. 1 ranked team in the country.

First of all, Indiana is the better shooting team, ranking 16th in effective field goal percentage, compared to Purdue who comes in at 72nd. It’s also important to note that the Hoosiers effective field goal percentage goes up 10% when playing on their home court compared to on the road.

I also think Indiana has the advantage from a stylistic point of view. 71.1% of Indiana’s shots come from two-point range, which is the 20th highest rate in the country. Meanwhile, 56.5% of the points the Boilermakers allow come from two-point shots, which ranks 339th in the country.

I’ll back Indiana as a pick’em.

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.